Modeling and Forecasting

Enhancing capabilities for impact-based forecasting

Vulnerable communities across Asia, Africa and the Pacific are among the hardest hit by disasters, particularly extreme weather and climate events which are increasing in frequency and severity as a result of climate change.

As a core service, RIMES enhances capacities of national hydrometeorological and disaster risk reduction institutions to utilise global predictions and integrate customised climate/weather models for producing high-resolution forecasts with sufficient lead time for preparedness and response to manage extreme weather and climate events.

RIMES facilitates regional cooperation and offers technical and strategic expertise in sharing data and implementing best-practices for generating reliable and accurate forecast products within the RIMES region.

In order to create a sustainable and scalable impact among the end-users, RIMES integrates model development and forecast generation with a suite of user-tailored tools and dynamic web-portals to enhance user’s capacities to access, customise and apply forecast services.

Weather Forecast

Focus Areas

World Bank

The partnership with World Bank focuses on two programs- Climate Adaptation and Resilience for South Asia (CARE South Asia) and South Asia Hydromet Forum (SAHF). CARE South Asia and SAHF are two complementary initiatives that encompass key components of an effective end-to-end early warning information value chain that underpins RIMES’s service delivery approach. With a […]

Earthquake, tsunami, and coastal hazard assessments

RIMES undertakes hazard assessments to characterize hazards that at-risk communities face, as inputs to resilience planning. Earthquake, tsunami, and storm surge hazard assessments use probabilistic methodologies that involve modeling, while sea level rise hazard assessment use trend analysis from long-period historical observation data.

Integrated ocean information system

Tool development customization

Since its inception, RIMES has been developing and integrating tools with national and regional systems for advisory generation which are customized based on countries’ evolving needs. Ocean state forecasting and advisory system: Web-based system for generation of advisories based on location-specific ocean state forecast information from INCOIS’ Indian Ocean Forecast System (INDOFOS). The system disseminates […]

Earthquake monitoring and tsunami warning

RIMES operates a 24/7 regional facility for earthquake monitoring and tsunami warning, with the following capabilities: Automatic seismic data acquisition system: Antelope and SeisComP are used as redundant systems Sea level data acquisition system: Global Telecommunication System (GTS) link through Maldives and customized Tide Tool run as redundant systems Database of pre-computed tsunami simulations Near […]

Tool development

RIMES assists the Member States through the development of tools that facilitate the use of forecast products of different lead times for assessment of potential impacts and generation of guidance/ advisories. Tool customization integrates forecasts available from the NMHS and user requirements, determined through need assessments. Relevant national agencies co-develop country-specific tools. Tools are transferred […]