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In Bangladesh, a country disproportionately affected by cyclones originating in the Bay of Bengal, early warning systems have historically reduced fatalities through timely alerts and infrastructure improvements. However, generic forecasts often fail to address the nuanced vulnerabilities of individual communities, resulting in varied impacts across the region with different livelihood sectoral damage.

The critical challenge lies not in predicting what the weather will be but in communicating what the weather will do. While vital, traditional hazard-centric forecasts lack granularity in translating meteorological data into localized consequences. This limitation leaves disaster managers and communities unprepared to prioritize resources or implement targeted interventions, particularly in regions with heterogeneous exposure and vulnerability profiles.

This Cyclone Impact Forecasting (IF) Toolkit demonstrates the paradigm shift toward impact-based decision-making. By integrating high-resolution hazard forecasts with dynamic vulnerability indices and sector-specific exposure data, this methodology enables the generation of location-specific impact scenarios. Grounded in multidisciplinary collaboration, the toolkit synthesizes advanced forecast products, socio-economic datasets, and remote sensing insights to quantify risks at both national (district) and sub-district (upazila) levels. 

Developed in partnership with the Bangladesh Meteorological Department (BMD) and the Department of Disaster Management (DDM), this toolkit emphasizes operational scalability of IbF and IF specially for compound hazards like tropical cyclones. It leverages Bangladesh’s existing early warning infrastructure while incorporating national and sub-national-level socioeconomic and exposure data to generate detailed impact scenarios. 

Access the toolkit here: https://tinyurl.com/RIMES-IFToolkit

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This regional climate outlook for the 2025 southwest monsoon season (June-September) over South Asia has been collaboratively developed by all nine National Meteorological and Hydrological Services (NMHSs) of South Asia with the support from international experts at the 31st session of the South Asian Climate Outlook Forum (SASCOF-31) conducted at Pune, India. The process involved an expert assessment of the prevailing global climate conditions, national level forecasts and forecasts from different climate forecasting agencies around the world.

Read the full report: 

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Organised by the Ministry of Water Resources and Meteorology, Cambodia (MOWRAM), RIMES, ASEAN Specialised Meteorological Centre (ASMC), the ASEANCOF Working Group, and World Meteorological Organization (WMO), participants of the ASEANCOF-24 developed a consensus forecast for the boreal summer monsoon 2025 in the ASEAN region. The consensus for the June-July-August (JJA) 2025 outlook was achieved through a hybrid session, which included presentations from NMHSs, questionnaires, and discussions regarding the current climate conditions and predictions for Southeast Asia.

Read the full report: 

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The objectives of this assessment are to:

• Assess the existing situation of the local community through the lens of their economic and social well-being;
• Identify the effectiveness of the early warning system and quantify the loss minimized through the initiatives taken;
• Identify the impact on agriculture, livestock, and relevant sectors from the context of the community; and
• Ensure that people’s fatalities, health illnesses, and economic losses are reduced by taking timely and effective early actions against the impacts of heat stress.

This report was developed through the joint efforts of Regional Integrated Multi-Hazard Early Warning System (RIMES), Save the Children, and Mahideb Jubo Somaj Kallayan Somity (MJSKS).

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To guide these interventions, UNDP commissioned the Regional Integrated Multi-Hazard Early Warning System for Africa and Asia (RIMES) to conduct a Downscaled Climate Risk Assessment focusing on Hela and Southern Highlands Provinces to help identify high-risk communities and customize interventions to enhance community resilience against climate shocks. The assessment was expected to inform the drafting of provincial and sub-provincial development plans, including the Community Peace for Development Plans (CPDPs).

Access the full report here: Climate Risk Assessment Report Focusing on Hela and Southern Highlands Provinces

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This 2024, RIMES is proud to collaborate with partners across Asia and the Pacific to tackle marine debris, a key driver of climate change. Coastal debris contributes to rising sea levels and extreme weather, while also releasing greenhouse gases and damaging ecosystems that store carbon. RIMES’s expertise in disaster risk reduction and hydrometeorological data supports efforts to protect our oceans and mitigate climate impacts. 

Together, we can reduce plastic pollution, protect coastal ecosystems, and turn the tide on climate change.

Take action today! Here’s what YOU can do: reduce your plastic use, participate in coastal cleanups, support policies that protect our oceans, and help raise awareness about the impacts of land-based pollution to climate change! 

Feel free to use the materials below to spread awareness all-year round. 

For more information about the #SeaTheChange movement, visit https://oceanconservancy.org/trash-free-seas/

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RIMES conducted the second phase of the project, Enhancing weather and climate resilience in RIMES Member States through capacity building on impact forecasting”, from November 30, 2021 to February 29, 2024. The project aimed to contribute to building resilience to weather- and climate-related hazards by building capacity on impact forecasting in Bhutan, Cambodia, Lao PDR, Maldives, Sri Lanka in the Asian region, and Fiji, Papua New Guinea, Samoa, and Timor-Leste in the Pacific region.

This report is undertaken to evaluate RIMES’s implementation of the Phase II Project, with the following evaluation objectives:

• Provide an independent assessment of the relevance, coherence, efficiency, effectiveness, impact, and sustainability of the project; and

• Identify key lessons learned and propose recommendations for follow-up actions and for consideration in RIMES future program design, implementation, and management.

The findings of this evaluation shall be communicated to the United Nations (UN) Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific (ESCAP), as part of RIMES accountability to the ESCAP Trust Fund for Tsunami, Disaster and Climate Preparedness in Indian Ocean and Southeast Asian Countries, and its donors. Findings, particularly on the project’s contributions to enhancing the beneficiary-countries’ resilience to weather- and climate related hazards shall be communicated to RIMES Member States and to development partners in general, to advocate for replication. RIMES shall use findings of the evaluation for enhancing its project design, planning, and implementation strategies, as well as for guiding replication.

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The Twenty-Second session of ASEANCOF (ASEANCOF-22) was organised by the Department of Meteorology and Hydrology of Lao PDR, RIMES, the ASEANCOF Working Group, and WMO. Participants from the NMHSs of ASEAN Member States created a consensus forecast for the boreal summer monsoon 2024 in the ASEAN region. The consensus for the June-July-August (JJA) 2024 outlook was achieved through a hybrid session, which included presentations from different NMHSs, questionnaires, and discussions regarding the current climate conditions and predictions for Southeast Asia. There was also two-day pre-COF training, conducted by the UK Met Office under the WISER Asia Pacific project and RIMES. The theme of ASEANCOF-22 was Agriculture and Climate Services, with a focus on drought. On the last day of ASEANCOF-22, a sharing session was held which included presentations from UN ESCAP, FAO, and WFP, as well as discussion on ways to improve ASEANCOF.
 

As a result of these discussions, outlook for maize and rice is included in the document.

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